After the long, bitter, divisive and gruelling
election campaigns, Americans will head to the polls tuesday in a historic
election that will determine who leads the world’s only super power and largest
economy for the next four years.
The battle between the Democratic Party’s candidate,
Hillary Clinton, and the Republican candidate, Donald Trump, will be eagerly
watched by the rest of the world waiting with baited breath for the outcome of
the election.
No US election in recent history has generated as
much interest around world like the 2016 election. Not even President Barack
Obama’s historic candidacy in 2008 came close.
The campaigns of both candidates were charaterised
by lewd and incendiary language, email scandals, WikiLeaks, racism, sexual
harassment and misogyny, leaked questions ahead of debates, hyperbole and
outright lies, unending Twitter posts even at 3 in the morning, a fractured
Republican Party, Russian hacks of the Democratic Party’s emails, and a
last-minute FBI intervention that may likely affect the outcome of the
election.
Should former US Secretary of State, Mrs. Clinton,
beat her rival in the election, she will make history as the first woman to
lead the country.But before she wins that accolade, the US electorate would
have to decide in a keen contest that has gone to the wire against Trump, who
nobody gave a chance of even winning the ticket of the Republican Party.
Monday, both candidates fought late into the night
as they barnstormed across battleground states on the final full day of
campaigning.As Election Day approached, each candidate has a path to victory.
However, according to CNN, Clinton was better positioned than Trump with a
narrow lead in national polls and an advantage in many battleground states.
But her leads were far from dominant and a strong
turnout for Trump tuesday, or a poor response from sections of her own
coalition could open the way for the billionaire real estate tycoon to become
president.“I am here to ask you to vote for yourself, vote for your family,
vote for your futures,” Clinton said at her first event of the day in
Pittsburgh. “Vote on the issues that matter to you because they are on the
ballot not just my name and my opponent’s name.”
The latest CNN Poll of Polls gives Clinton a
four-point lead over Trump, 46% to 42%. In most of the swing states that will
decide, the race is tight. But if Clinton can cling on to most states that have
voted Democratic in recent elections and add at most a couple of swing states,
she will likely win the election.
But Democrats are worried about Trump’s strength in
the Midwest — particularly in Michigan, which has not voted Republican since
1988. Trump has been making a strong push there amid narrowing polls.Trump
campaign manager Kellyanne Conway predicted monday that Trump will win
Michigan, telling ABC’s “Good Morning America” that the campaign feels “really
good” about the latest polling in upper Midwest states.
Clinton was in Michigan later monday. Robby Mook,
her campaign manager, said the late move is more a function of the calendar and
the lack of early voting there than a sign of genuine anxiety.
“Our strategy these last few days is to focus on the
states where voting overwhelmingly happens on Election Day,” Mook said on CNN’s
New Day. “Previously, as you’ve seen, we’ve been focused on states like
Florida, Nevada, North Carolina, where the majority of the voting happens
early.”He continued: “So, this is really a reflection of the voting calendar.
Donald Trump has been kind of running to each and every state it seems. So they
have their strategy. But we have ours.”
Trump has little margin for error. He will need to
win Ohio, North Carolina and Florida, where he is locked in margin-of-error
races with Clinton, just to give him a chance to make the near perfect run
through the remaining swing states that he needs to capture the presidency.
Democrats were particularly encouraged by
indications of a surge of Hispanic voters in early voting in Florida and
Nevada. But there were also warning signs for Clinton, with African-Americans
not as large a proportion of the early voting electorate as they were for
President Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012.
CNN’s most recent electoral map showed Clinton was
projected to win 268 electoral votes from states that are solidly blue or
leaning in her direction. Trump had 204 votes from states that are solidly in
his column or leaning that way. A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to win
the White House.
In the latest CNN Poll of Polls data in the swing
states, Clinton led 45% to 43% in North Carolina, the rivals are tied at 45% in
Florida, and Clinton led by five points in Pennsylvania, a state Trump hopes to
turn red tuesday.
In New Hampshire, where the race moved towards Trump
in the last week, Clinton was still up 44% to 41%. New Hampshire only has four
electoral votes, but Trump’s path to 270 is so difficult that votes from
smaller states could still be crucial for him.
The latest opinion poll, on Fox News monday also
gave Clinton a four-point lead, double that of Friday.
The candidates’ schedules monday told the tale of
the last day before voting starts. Clinton was in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania,
Grand Rapids, Michigan, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania and Raleigh, North Carolina.
In Pennsylvania, Clinton appeared alongside her
husband former President Bill Clinton and President Barack Obama and First Lady
Michelle Obama, in a bid to ensure the heavy turnout among Philadelphia voters
that could make it impossible for Trump to make up the deficit elsewhere in the
state.
The event underlined the remarkable role the Obamas
have played during the campaign in support of the current president’s former
political rival — one that is unprecedented at least since Ronald Reagan
campaigned for his chosen successor, George H.W. Bush, in 1988.
Earlier in the day, Obama was in Ann Arbor, Michigan
— another sign of how seriously the Democrats are taking the state. “The choice
that you make when you step into the voting booth, it really could not be
clearer,” Obama said. “Donald Trump is temperamentally unfit to be commander in
chief.”
A race that has been full of surprises took another
lurch Sunday, when FBI Director James Comey said newly discovered emails being
reviewed by the bureau had not changed his conclusion that the former secretary
of state should not be charged over her use of private email server.
Comey’s last minute move was a boost for Clinton,
but may have come too late to repair the damage to her campaign wrought by a
week of controversy and speculation about the email probe.
After Clinton’s latest reprieve from Comey, she
adopted a more optimistic message Sunday than she had previously employed in
the final week of the campaign, when she was under withering attack over the
email saga.
After she was introduced to a crowd in Cleveland by
NBA star, Lebron James, she told the crowd that she would always be there for
Americans.
“I don’t know your dreams, I don’t know your
struggles, but I want so much to convey to you I will be on your side,” Clinton
said. “I will fight for you, fight for your family. I want us to do all we can
to help you get ahead and stay ahead and my vision is very different from my
opponents.”
Trump has adopted a scattershot strategy in the
final days, travelling between swing states he needs to win, like Florida, and
turf that had been considered solidly Democratic, like Pennsylvania, Michigan
and Minnesota.
He was in Sarasota, Florida, Raleigh, North
Carolina, Scranton, Pennsylvania, Manchester, New Hampshire yesterday and ended
his day with a rally in Grand Rapids, Michigan.
Trump shrugged off Comey’s move on Sunday, vowing
that the American people would “deliver justice at the ballot box”.
“Hillary Clinton is guilty. She knows it, the FBI
knows it, the people know it,” he said at a huge rally at Sterling Heights,
Michigan.
If Trump could somehow peel away Michigan or
Pennsylvania from Clinton’s column, he could hedge against a possible loss to
Clinton from among the trio of Florida, North Carolina and Ohio. If he wins
those three states and a big blue state, he could be on the way to the
presidency.
Meanwhile, his campaign team monday sought to allay
negative views expressed overseas towards their candidate.
Trump’s campaign manager told the BBC such antipathy
“doesn’t reflect why Donald Trump is running and who he would be on the global
stage”.
She also attacked Clinton’s “unremarkable to
chequered” record as secretary of state.
Ms. Conway said negative attitudes overseas “does
bother me” but defended Trump’s “America First” stance.
Trump “does say America First and he means it”, she
said, spelling out the reasons – stopping the loss of American jobs overseas,
making sure all partners, including NATO, pay their fair share and
renegotiating trade deals that are bad for the US.
Ms. Conway also responded to a jibe from President
Obama that Trump could not be trusted with US nuclear codes.
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